Who won Michigan vs Rutgers?

Michigan Wolverines won 28-21. Maiden picked Michigan Wolverines at 77% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 75% to 80% have won 29 of 36 college football games, 81%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Michigan vs Rutgers win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Rutgers Scarlet Knights hosting Michigan Wolverines. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:30 PM UTC

Michigan Wolverines at Rutgers Scarlet Knights — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Michigan Wolverines 28, Rutgers Scarlet Knights 21

Our pick landed: Michigan Wolverines won 28-21. We had them at 77%.

Michigan Wolverines, 77% to win. We project them by 12.1.

The numbers

Our pick	Michigan Wolverines
Chance they win	77%
Our projected spread (Michigan Wolverines)	-12.1
Our projected score (Michigan Wolverines first)	32-20
Projected total	51.3
Our picks at 75% to 80% confidence	29-7 (81%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Michigan Wolverines)	-16
Total	46.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Oct 25, 2026, 3:03 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Michigan vs Rutgers?: Michigan Wolverines won 28-21. Maiden picked Michigan Wolverines at 77% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 75% to 80% have won 29 of 36 college football games, 81%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Michigan vs Rutgers win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Rutgers Scarlet Knights hosting Michigan Wolverines. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.