Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Florida International Panthers — result and pick review
Result
✗ Pick wrongFlorida International Panthers 23, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 26
Our pick missed: Florida International Panthers lost 23-26. We had them at 78%, and it stays on the record.
Florida International Panthers, 78% to win. We project them by 13.
The numbers
| Our pick | Florida International Panthers |
| Chance they win | 78% |
| Our projected spread (Florida International Panthers) | -13 |
| Our projected score (Florida International Panthers first) | 30-17 |
| Projected total | 47.7 |
| Our picks at 75% to 80% confidence | 29-7 (81%) |
That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.
We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.
Market average
| Spread (Florida International Panthers) | -10 |
| Total | 45.5 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Oct 18, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- Who won Middle Tennessee vs Florida International?
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 26-23. Maiden picked Florida International Panthers at 78% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?
- Picks we've made between 75% to 80% have won 29 of 36 college football games, 81%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
- Where does the Middle Tennessee vs Florida International win probability come from?
- We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Florida International Panthers hosting Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.