Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Jacksonville State Gamecocks — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightJacksonville State Gamecocks 23, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 13
Our pick landed: Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 23-13. We had them at 78%.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks, 78% to win. We project them by 12.8.
The numbers
| Our pick | Jacksonville State Gamecocks |
| Chance they win | 78% |
| Our projected spread (Jacksonville State Gamecocks) | -12.8 |
| Our projected score (Jacksonville State Gamecocks first) | 33-20 |
| Projected total | 53.4 |
| Our picks at 75% to 80% confidence | 29-7 (81%) |
That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.
We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.
Market average
| Spread (Jacksonville State Gamecocks) | -7 |
| Total | 51.5 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Sep 20, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- Who won Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State?
- Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 23-13. Maiden picked Jacksonville State Gamecocks at 78% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?
- Picks we've made between 75% to 80% have won 29 of 36 college football games, 81%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
- Where does the Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State win probability come from?
- We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Jacksonville State Gamecocks hosting Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.