Who won Mississippi State vs Minnesota?

Mississippi State Bulldogs won 38-13. Maiden picked Minnesota Golden Gophers at 58% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 55% to 60% have won 32 of 48 college football games, 67%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Mississippi State vs Minnesota win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Minnesota Golden Gophers hosting Mississippi State Bulldogs. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Minnesota Golden Gophers — result and pick review

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Minnesota Golden Gophers 13, Mississippi State Bulldogs 38

Our pick missed: Minnesota Golden Gophers lost 13-38. We had them at 58%, and it stays on the record.

Minnesota Golden Gophers, 58% to win. We project them by 3.5.

the market leans Mississippi State Bulldogs — we're on Minnesota Golden Gophers anyway.

The numbers

Our pick	Minnesota Golden Gophers
Chance they win	58%
Our projected spread (Minnesota Golden Gophers)	-3.5
Our projected score (Minnesota Golden Gophers first)	30-26
Projected total	55.5
Our picks at 55% to 60% confidence	32-16 (67%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Minnesota Golden Gophers)	+0.5
Total	54.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 6, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Mississippi State vs Minnesota?: Mississippi State Bulldogs won 38-13. Maiden picked Minnesota Golden Gophers at 58% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 55% to 60% have won 32 of 48 college football games, 67%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Mississippi State vs Minnesota win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Minnesota Golden Gophers hosting Mississippi State Bulldogs. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.