Who won New Mexico State vs Hawai'i?

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors won 29-19. Maiden picked Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at 82% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 80% to 85% have won 40 of 46 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the New Mexico State vs Hawai'i win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors hosting New Mexico State Aggies. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 2 · Sep 13, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

New Mexico State Aggies at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 29, New Mexico State Aggies 19

Our pick landed: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors won 29-19. We had them at 82%.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors, 82% to win. We project them by 15.4.

The numbers

Our pick	Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Chance they win	82%
Our projected spread (Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors)	-15.4
Our projected score (Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors first)	33-18
Projected total	51
Our picks at 80% to 85% confidence	40-6 (87%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors)	-7.5
Total	50.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 6, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won New Mexico State vs Hawai'i?: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors won 29-19. Maiden picked Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at 82% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 80% to 85% have won 40 of 46 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the New Mexico State vs Hawai'i win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors hosting New Mexico State Aggies. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.