Northern Illinois Huskies at Iowa Hawkeyes — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightIowa Hawkeyes 40, Northern Illinois Huskies 0
Our pick landed: Iowa Hawkeyes won 40-0. We had them at 96%.
Iowa Hawkeyes, 96% to win. We project them by 29.3.
The numbers
| Our pick | Iowa Hawkeyes |
| Chance they win | 96% |
| Our projected spread (Iowa Hawkeyes) | -29.3 |
| Our projected score (Iowa Hawkeyes first) | 36-6 |
| Projected total | 42.3 |
The win probability is the graded call. The projected spread, score and total come from the same model, and they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.
Market average
| Spread (Iowa Hawkeyes) | -31.5 |
| Total | 44.5 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Aug 22, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- Who won Northern Illinois vs Iowa?
- Iowa Hawkeyes won 40-0. Maiden picked Iowa Hawkeyes at 96% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- Where does the Northern Illinois vs Iowa win probability come from?
- We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Iowa Hawkeyes hosting Northern Illinois Huskies. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.