Who won Notre Dame vs Navy?

Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 35-13. Maiden picked Notre Dame Fighting Irish at 96% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 95% to 100% have won 30 of 31 college football games, 97%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Notre Dame vs Navy win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for the neutral site, where neither team has home field. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 9 · Neutral site · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Notre Dame Fighting Irish 35, Navy Midshipmen 13

Our pick landed: Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 35-13. We had them at 96%.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 96% to win. We project them by 28.

The numbers

Our pick	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Chance they win	96%
Our projected spread (Notre Dame Fighting Irish)	-28
Our projected score (Notre Dame Fighting Irish first)	42-14
Projected total	55.9
Our picks at 95% to 100% confidence	30-1 (97%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Notre Dame Fighting Irish)	-30.5
Total	55

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Oct 25, 2026, 3:03 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Notre Dame vs Navy?: Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 35-13. Maiden picked Notre Dame Fighting Irish at 96% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 95% to 100% have won 30 of 31 college football games, 97%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Notre Dame vs Navy win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for the neutral site, where neither team has home field. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.