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Week 4 ·

Oklahoma State Cowboys at West Virginia Mountaineers — result and pick review

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

West Virginia Mountaineers 24, Oklahoma State Cowboys 41

Our pick missed: West Virginia Mountaineers lost 24-41. We had them at 71%, and it stays on the record.

West Virginia Mountaineers, 71% to win. We project them by 9.2.

The numbers

Our pickWest Virginia Mountaineers
Chance they win71%
Our projected spread (West Virginia Mountaineers)-9.2
Our projected score (West Virginia Mountaineers first)32-22
Projected total53.9
Our picks at 70% to 75% confidence38-16 (70%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (West Virginia Mountaineers)-2
Total60

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 20, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Oklahoma State vs West Virginia?
Oklahoma State Cowboys won 41-24. Maiden picked West Virginia Mountaineers at 71% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?
Picks we've made between 70% to 75% have won 38 of 54 college football games, 70%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Oklahoma State vs West Virginia win probability come from?
We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with West Virginia Mountaineers hosting Oklahoma State Cowboys. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?
No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.