Who won Oregon vs Oklahoma State?

Oklahoma State Cowboys won 39-31. Maiden picked Oregon Ducks at 97% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 95% to 100% have won 30 of 31 college football games, 97%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Oregon vs Oklahoma State win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Oklahoma State Cowboys hosting Oregon Ducks. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Oregon Ducks at Oklahoma State Cowboys — result and pick review

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Oregon Ducks 31, Oklahoma State Cowboys 39

Our pick missed: Oregon Ducks lost 31-39. We had them at 97%, and it stays on the record.

Oregon Ducks, 97% to win. We project them by 32.7.

The numbers

Our pick	Oregon Ducks
Chance they win	97%
Our projected spread (Oregon Ducks)	-32.7
Our projected score (Oregon Ducks first)	43-10
Projected total	53.5
Our picks at 95% to 100% confidence	30-1 (97%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Oregon Ducks)	-23.5
Total	55.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 5, 2026, 11:13 AM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Oregon vs Oklahoma State?: Oklahoma State Cowboys won 39-31. Maiden picked Oregon Ducks at 97% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 95% to 100% have won 30 of 31 college football games, 97%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Oregon vs Oklahoma State win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Oklahoma State Cowboys hosting Oregon Ducks. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.