Oregon State Beavers at Houston Cougars — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightHouston Cougars 33, Oregon State Beavers 20
Our pick landed: Houston Cougars won 33-20. We had them at 83%.
Houston Cougars, 83% to win. We project them by 15.8.
The numbers
| Our pick | Houston Cougars |
| Chance they win | 83% |
| Our projected spread (Houston Cougars) | -15.8 |
| Our projected score (Houston Cougars first) | 32-17 |
| Projected total | 48.8 |
The win probability is the graded call. The projected spread, score and total come from the same model, and they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.
Market average
| Spread (Houston Cougars) | -21 |
| Total | 50.5 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Aug 22, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC
Tomorrow's board, before kickoff
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, football included, published before anything starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Frequently asked questions
- Who won Oregon State vs Houston?
- Houston Cougars won 33-20. Maiden picked Houston Cougars at 83% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- Where does the Oregon State vs Houston win probability come from?
- We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Houston Cougars hosting Oregon State Beavers. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.