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Week 1 ·

Oregon State Beavers at Houston Cougars — prediction and win probability

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Houston Cougars, 85% to win — we project them by 14.1.

Projected total 48.8

The numbers

Our pickHouston Cougars
Chance they win85%
Projected margin (Houston Cougars)+14.1
Projected total48.8

Only the win probability is graded. The projected margin and total are our own model’s supporting numbers — they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested, and no call is made on them. No sportsbook line appears on this page.

Rest of the Week 1, 2026 board

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets — every call is graded in public after the game, wins and misses both.