Penn State Nittany Lions at Temple Owls — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightPenn State Nittany Lions 27, Temple Owls 9
Our pick landed: Penn State Nittany Lions won 27-9. We had them at 90%.
Penn State Nittany Lions, 90% to win. We project them by 21.6.
The numbers
| Our pick | Penn State Nittany Lions |
| Chance they win | 90% |
| Our projected spread (Penn State Nittany Lions) | -21.6 |
| Our projected score (Penn State Nittany Lions first) | 37-15 |
| Projected total | 52.2 |
The win probability is the graded call. The projected spread, score and total come from the same model, and they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.
Market average
| Spread (Penn State Nittany Lions) | -24 |
| Total | 51 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Sep 6, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- Who won Penn State vs Temple?
- Penn State Nittany Lions won 27-9. Maiden picked Penn State Nittany Lions at 90% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- Where does the Penn State vs Temple win probability come from?
- We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Temple Owls hosting Penn State Nittany Lions. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.