Rice Owls at Notre Dame Fighting Irish — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightNotre Dame Fighting Irish 52, Rice Owls 0
Our pick landed: Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 52-0. We had them at 97%.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 97% to win. We project them by 42.8.
The numbers
| Our pick | Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
| Chance they win | 97% |
| Our projected spread (Notre Dame Fighting Irish) | -42.8 |
| Our projected score (Notre Dame Fighting Irish first) | 47-4 |
| Projected total | 50.5 |
The win probability is the graded call. The projected spread, score and total come from the same model, and they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.
Prediction published Sep 6, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- Who won Rice vs Notre Dame?
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 52-0. Maiden picked Notre Dame Fighting Irish at 97% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- Where does the Rice vs Notre Dame win probability come from?
- We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Notre Dame Fighting Irish hosting Rice Owls. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.