Sacramento State Hornets at Eastern Michigan Eagles — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightEastern Michigan Eagles 28, Sacramento State Hornets 17
Our pick landed: Eastern Michigan Eagles won 28-17. We had them at 73%.
Eastern Michigan Eagles, 73% to win. We project them by 10.
The numbers
| Our pick | Eastern Michigan Eagles |
| Chance they win | 73% |
| Our projected spread (Eastern Michigan Eagles) | -10 |
| Our projected score (Eastern Michigan Eagles first) | 33-23 |
| Projected total | 56.9 |
The win probability is the graded call. The projected spread, score and total come from the same model, and they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.
Market average
| Spread (Eastern Michigan Eagles) | -10 |
| Total | 52.5 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Aug 22, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC · Updated Aug 26, 2026, 1:04 AM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- Who won Sacramento State vs Eastern Michigan?
- Eastern Michigan Eagles won 28-17. Maiden picked Eastern Michigan Eagles at 73% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- Where does the Sacramento State vs Eastern Michigan win probability come from?
- We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Eastern Michigan Eagles hosting Sacramento State Hornets. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.