Sacramento State Hornets at Eastern Michigan Eagles — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightEastern Michigan Eagles 28, Sacramento State Hornets 17
Our pick landed: Eastern Michigan Eagles won 28-17. We had them at 73%.
Eastern Michigan Eagles, 73% to win. We project them by 10.
The numbers
| Our pick | Eastern Michigan Eagles |
| Chance they win | 73% |
| Our projected spread (Eastern Michigan Eagles) | -10 |
| Our projected score (Eastern Michigan Eagles first) | 33-23 |
| Projected total | 56.9 |
| Our picks at 70% to 75% confidence | 38-16 (70%) |
That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.
We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.
Market average
| Spread (Eastern Michigan Eagles) | -10 |
| Total | 52.5 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Aug 22, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC · Updated Aug 26, 2026, 1:04 AM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- Who won Sacramento State vs Eastern Michigan?
- Eastern Michigan Eagles won 28-17. Maiden picked Eastern Michigan Eagles at 73% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?
- Picks we've made between 70% to 75% have won 38 of 54 college football games, 70%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
- Where does the Sacramento State vs Eastern Michigan win probability come from?
- We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Eastern Michigan Eagles hosting Sacramento State Hornets. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.