Who won San José State vs Nevada?

Nevada Wolf Pack won 28-13. Maiden picked Nevada Wolf Pack at 57% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 55% to 60% have won 32 of 48 college football games, 67%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the San José State vs Nevada win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Nevada Wolf Pack hosting San José State Spartans. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

San José State Spartans at Nevada Wolf Pack — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Nevada Wolf Pack 28, San José State Spartans 13

Our pick landed: Nevada Wolf Pack won 28-13. We had them at 57%.

Nevada Wolf Pack, 57% to win. We project them by 2.8.

The numbers

Our pick	Nevada Wolf Pack
Chance they win	57%
Our projected spread (Nevada Wolf Pack)	-2.8
Our projected score (Nevada Wolf Pack first)	25-22
Projected total	47.2
Our picks at 55% to 60% confidence	32-16 (67%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Nevada Wolf Pack)	-5.5
Total	46.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Oct 18, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won San José State vs Nevada?: Nevada Wolf Pack won 28-13. Maiden picked Nevada Wolf Pack at 57% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 55% to 60% have won 32 of 48 college football games, 67%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the San José State vs Nevada win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Nevada Wolf Pack hosting San José State Spartans. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.