Who won San José State vs USC?

USC Trojans won 42-26. Maiden picked USC Trojans at 97% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 95% to 100% have won 30 of 31 college football games, 97%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the San José State vs USC win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with USC Trojans hosting San José State Spartans. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 0 · Aug 29, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

San José State Spartans at USC Trojans — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

USC Trojans 42, San José State Spartans 26

Our pick landed: USC Trojans won 42-26. We had them at 97%.

USC Trojans, 97% to win. We project them by 30.1.

The numbers

Our pick	USC Trojans
Chance they win	97%
Our projected spread (USC Trojans)	-30.1
Our projected score (USC Trojans first)	44-14
Projected total	58.5
Our picks at 95% to 100% confidence	30-1 (97%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (USC Trojans)	-38.5
Total	60.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Aug 22, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC · Updated Aug 26, 2026, 1:04 AM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won San José State vs USC?: USC Trojans won 42-26. Maiden picked USC Trojans at 97% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 95% to 100% have won 30 of 31 college football games, 97%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the San José State vs USC win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with USC Trojans hosting San José State Spartans. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.