Who won South Alabama vs Kentucky?

Kentucky Wildcats won 45-21. Maiden picked Kentucky Wildcats at 80% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 75% to 80% have won 29 of 36 college football games, 81%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the South Alabama vs Kentucky win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Kentucky Wildcats hosting South Alabama Jaguars. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026, 4:45 PM UTC

South Alabama Jaguars at Kentucky Wildcats — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Kentucky Wildcats 45, South Alabama Jaguars 21

Our pick landed: Kentucky Wildcats won 45-21. We had them at 80%.

Kentucky Wildcats, 80% to win. We project them by 14.1.

The numbers

Our pick	Kentucky Wildcats
Chance they win	80%
Our projected spread (Kentucky Wildcats)	-14.1
Our projected score (Kentucky Wildcats first)	34-20
Projected total	53.5
Our picks at 75% to 80% confidence	29-7 (81%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Kentucky Wildcats)	-20.5
Total	54.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 20, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won South Alabama vs Kentucky?: Kentucky Wildcats won 45-21. Maiden picked Kentucky Wildcats at 80% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 75% to 80% have won 29 of 36 college football games, 81%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the South Alabama vs Kentucky win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Kentucky Wildcats hosting South Alabama Jaguars. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.