Who won South Carolina vs Alabama?

Alabama Crimson Tide won 49-18. Maiden picked Alabama Crimson Tide at 84% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 80% to 85% have won 40 of 46 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the South Carolina vs Alabama win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Alabama Crimson Tide hosting South Carolina Gamecocks. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC

South Carolina Gamecocks at Alabama Crimson Tide — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Alabama Crimson Tide 49, South Carolina Gamecocks 18

Our pick landed: Alabama Crimson Tide won 49-18. We had them at 84%.

Alabama Crimson Tide, 84% to win. We project them by 16.6.

The numbers

Our pick	Alabama Crimson Tide
Chance they win	84%
Our projected spread (Alabama Crimson Tide)	-16.6
Our projected score (Alabama Crimson Tide first)	35-18
Projected total	53.5
Our picks at 80% to 85% confidence	40-6 (87%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Alabama Crimson Tide)	-12.5
Total	53.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 20, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won South Carolina vs Alabama?: Alabama Crimson Tide won 49-18. Maiden picked Alabama Crimson Tide at 84% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 80% to 85% have won 40 of 46 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the South Carolina vs Alabama win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Alabama Crimson Tide hosting South Carolina Gamecocks. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.