Who won Texas Tech vs Cincinnati?

Cincinnati Bearcats won 37-24. Maiden picked Texas Tech Red Raiders at 74% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 70% to 75% have won 38 of 54 college football games, 70%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Texas Tech vs Cincinnati win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Cincinnati Bearcats hosting Texas Tech Red Raiders. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Cincinnati Bearcats — result and pick review

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Texas Tech Red Raiders 24, Cincinnati Bearcats 37

Our pick missed: Texas Tech Red Raiders lost 24-37. We had them at 74%, and it stays on the record.

Texas Tech Red Raiders, 74% to win. We project them by 10.5.

The numbers

Our pick	Texas Tech Red Raiders
Chance they win	74%
Our projected spread (Texas Tech Red Raiders)	-10.5
Our projected score (Texas Tech Red Raiders first)	34-24
Projected total	57.7
Our picks at 70% to 75% confidence	38-16 (70%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Texas Tech Red Raiders)	-11.5
Total	56.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Oct 18, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Texas Tech vs Cincinnati?: Cincinnati Bearcats won 37-24. Maiden picked Texas Tech Red Raiders at 74% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 70% to 75% have won 38 of 54 college football games, 70%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Texas Tech vs Cincinnati win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Cincinnati Bearcats hosting Texas Tech Red Raiders. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.