Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Sam Houston Bearkats — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightTulsa Golden Hurricane 23, Sam Houston Bearkats 17
Our pick landed: Tulsa Golden Hurricane won 23-17. We had them at 63%.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane, 63% to win. We project them by 5.4.
The numbers
| Our pick | Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
| Chance they win | 63% |
| Our projected spread (Tulsa Golden Hurricane) | -5.4 |
| Our projected score (Tulsa Golden Hurricane first) | 30-24 |
| Projected total | 53.6 |
The win probability is the graded call. The projected spread, score and total come from the same model, and they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.
Market average
| Spread (Tulsa Golden Hurricane) | -13.5 |
| Total | 51 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Sep 5, 2026, 11:13 AM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- Who won Tulsa vs Sam Houston?
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane won 23-17. Maiden picked Tulsa Golden Hurricane at 63% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- Where does the Tulsa vs Sam Houston win probability come from?
- We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Sam Houston Bearkats hosting Tulsa Golden Hurricane. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.