UAB Blazers at South Florida Bulls — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightSouth Florida Bulls 30, UAB Blazers 10
Our pick landed: South Florida Bulls won 30-10. We had them at 87%.
South Florida Bulls, 87% to win. We project them by 18.4.
The numbers
| Our pick | South Florida Bulls |
| Chance they win | 87% |
| Our projected spread (South Florida Bulls) | -18.4 |
| Our projected score (South Florida Bulls first) | 35-17 |
| Projected total | 51.4 |
| Our picks at 85% to 90% confidence | 33-5 (87%) |
That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.
We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.
Market average
| Spread (South Florida Bulls) | -7.5 |
| Total | 42 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Oct 25, 2026, 3:03 PM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- Who won UAB vs South Florida?
- South Florida Bulls won 30-10. Maiden picked South Florida Bulls at 87% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?
- Picks we've made between 85% to 90% have won 33 of 38 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
- Where does the UAB vs South Florida win probability come from?
- We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with South Florida Bulls hosting UAB Blazers. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.