Who won UL Monroe vs Mississippi State?

Mississippi State Bulldogs won 62-13. Maiden picked Mississippi State Bulldogs at 91% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 90% to 95% have won 31 of 33 college football games, 94%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the UL Monroe vs Mississippi State win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Mississippi State Bulldogs hosting UL Monroe Warhawks. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC

UL Monroe Warhawks at Mississippi State Bulldogs — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Mississippi State Bulldogs 62, UL Monroe Warhawks 13

Our pick landed: Mississippi State Bulldogs won 62-13. We had them at 91%.

Mississippi State Bulldogs, 91% to win. We project them by 22.7.

The numbers

Our pick	Mississippi State Bulldogs
Chance they win	91%
Our projected spread (Mississippi State Bulldogs)	-22.7
Our projected score (Mississippi State Bulldogs first)	38-16
Projected total	54.2
Our picks at 90% to 95% confidence	31-2 (94%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Mississippi State Bulldogs)	-28.5
Total	54.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Aug 22, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won UL Monroe vs Mississippi State?: Mississippi State Bulldogs won 62-13. Maiden picked Mississippi State Bulldogs at 91% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 90% to 95% have won 31 of 33 college football games, 94%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the UL Monroe vs Mississippi State win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Mississippi State Bulldogs hosting UL Monroe Warhawks. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.