Who won UL Monroe vs UAB?

UAB Blazers won 26-20. Maiden picked UAB Blazers at 75% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 70% to 75% have won 38 of 54 college football games, 70%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the UL Monroe vs UAB win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with UAB Blazers hosting UL Monroe Warhawks. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC

UL Monroe Warhawks at UAB Blazers — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

UAB Blazers 26, UL Monroe Warhawks 20

Our pick landed: UAB Blazers won 26-20. We had them at 75%.

UAB Blazers, 75% to win. We project them by 10.9.

The numbers

Our pick	UAB Blazers
Chance they win	75%
Our projected spread (UAB Blazers)	-10.9
Our projected score (UAB Blazers first)	33-23
Projected total	56
Our picks at 70% to 75% confidence	38-16 (70%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (UAB Blazers)	-9.5
Total	54

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 5, 2026, 11:13 AM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won UL Monroe vs UAB?: UAB Blazers won 26-20. Maiden picked UAB Blazers at 75% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 70% to 75% have won 38 of 54 college football games, 70%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the UL Monroe vs UAB win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with UAB Blazers hosting UL Monroe Warhawks. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.