Who won Western Kentucky vs Nevada?

Nevada Wolf Pack won 49-14. Maiden picked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at 63% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 60% to 65% have won 41 of 62 college football games, 66%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Western Kentucky vs Nevada win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Nevada Wolf Pack hosting Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 1 · Sep 6, 2026, 2:30 AM UTC

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Nevada Wolf Pack — result and pick review

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 14, Nevada Wolf Pack 49

Our pick missed: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers lost 14-49. We had them at 63%, and it stays on the record.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 63% to win. We project them by 5.5.

The numbers

Our pick	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Chance they win	63%
Our projected spread (Western Kentucky Hilltoppers)	-5.5
Our projected score (Western Kentucky Hilltoppers first)	27-22
Projected total	49.4
Our picks at 60% to 65% confidence	41-21 (66%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Western Kentucky Hilltoppers)	-0.5
Total	51.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Aug 22, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Western Kentucky vs Nevada?: Nevada Wolf Pack won 49-14. Maiden picked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at 63% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 60% to 65% have won 41 of 62 college football games, 66%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Western Kentucky vs Nevada win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Nevada Wolf Pack hosting Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.