Who won Western Michigan vs Michigan?

Michigan Wolverines won 13-12. Maiden picked Michigan Wolverines at 89% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 85% to 90% have won 33 of 38 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Western Michigan vs Michigan win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Michigan Wolverines hosting Western Michigan Broncos. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC

Western Michigan Broncos at Michigan Wolverines — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Michigan Wolverines 13, Western Michigan Broncos 12

Our pick landed: Michigan Wolverines won 13-12. We had them at 89%.

Michigan Wolverines, 89% to win. We project them by 20.3.

The numbers

Our pick	Michigan Wolverines
Chance they win	89%
Our projected spread (Michigan Wolverines)	-20.3
Our projected score (Michigan Wolverines first)	34-13
Projected total	46.9
Our picks at 85% to 90% confidence	33-5 (87%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Michigan Wolverines)	-27.5
Total	49.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Aug 22, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Western Michigan vs Michigan?: Michigan Wolverines won 13-12. Maiden picked Michigan Wolverines at 89% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 85% to 90% have won 33 of 38 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Western Michigan vs Michigan win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Michigan Wolverines hosting Western Michigan Broncos. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.