Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightOur pick landed: Dallas Cowboys won by 17. We had them at 53%.
Dallas Cowboys, 53% to win. We project them by 0.9.
The numbers
| Our pick | Dallas Cowboys |
| Chance they win | 53% |
| Our projected spread (Dallas Cowboys) | -0.9 |
| Projected total | 50.4 |
We’re judged on the chance to win, and we never go above 90%, the highest level our testing covers. The projected spread and total come from the same numbers. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -6 means we project that side to win by six. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.
Market average
| Spread (Dallas Cowboys) | -4 |
| Total | 50.5 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Sep 15, 2026, 3:05 PM UTC
Tomorrow's card, by email
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, across every sport we cover, published before play and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets. A tie is void and counts neither way.