Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars — prediction and win probability
Jacksonville Jaguars, 74% to win. We project them by 8.2.
The numbers
| Our pick | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Chance they win | 74% |
| Our projected spread (Jacksonville Jaguars) | -8.2 |
| Projected total | 42.8 |
The win probability is the graded call, capped at 90% — the edge of the calibration table our model was validated on. The projected spread and total come from the same model. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -6 means we project that side to win by six. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.
Market average
| Spread (Jacksonville Jaguars) | -7.5 |
| Total | 42 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Oct 6, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC
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Rest of the Week 5, 2026 board
- Chicago Bears at Green Bay PackersSun, Oct 11 · Our pick: on the game page
- Houston Texans at Tennessee TitansSun, Oct 11 · Our pick: on the game page
- Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh SteelersSun, Oct 11 · Our pick: on the game page
- Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans SaintsSun, Oct 11 · Our pick: on the game page
- Las Vegas Raiders at New England PatriotsSun, Oct 11 · New England Patriots, 69% to win
- Cincinnati Bengals at Miami DolphinsSun, Oct 11 · Cincinnati Bengals, 65% to win
- Denver Broncos at Los Angeles ChargersSun, Oct 11 · Our pick: on the game page
- San Francisco 49ers at Seattle SeahawksSun, Oct 11 · Our pick: on the game page
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets. A tie is void and counts neither way.