New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightOur pick landed: Jacksonville Jaguars won by 29. We had them at 53%.
Jacksonville Jaguars, 53% to win. We project them by 0.8.
The numbers
| Our pick | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Chance they win | 53% |
| Our projected spread (Jacksonville Jaguars) | -0.8 |
| Projected total | 42.6 |
We’re judged on the chance to win, and we never go above 90%, the highest level our testing covers. The projected spread and total come from the same numbers. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -6 means we project that side to win by six. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.
Market average
| Spread (Jacksonville Jaguars) | -3 |
| Total | 46 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Sep 22, 2026, 3:05 PM UTC
Tomorrow's card, by email
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, across every sport we cover, published before play and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets. A tie is void and counts neither way.