New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions — prediction and win probability
Detroit Lions, 71% to win. We project them by 7.3.
Projected total 47.3
The numbers
| Our pick | Detroit Lions |
| Chance they win | 71% |
| Our projected spread (Detroit Lions) | -7.3 |
| Projected total | 47.3 |
Only the win probability is graded, and it is capped at 90% — the edge of the calibration table our model was validated on. The projected spread and total are our own model’s supporting numbers; no call is made on them. The spread is written the way you read one anywhere else, so -6 means we project that side to win by six. It is our number, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.
Rest of the Week 1, 2026 board
- New England Patriots at Seattle SeahawksWed, Sep 9 · Our pick: on the game page
- San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles RamsThu, Sep 10 · Our pick: on the game page
- Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville JaguarsSun, Sep 13 · Our pick: on the game page
- New York Jets at Tennessee TitansSun, Sep 13 · Our pick: on the game page
- Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh SteelersSun, Sep 13 · Our pick: on the game page
- Chicago Bears at Carolina PanthersSun, Sep 13 · Chicago Bears, 57% to win
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati BengalsSun, Sep 13 · Cincinnati Bengals, 54% to win
- Buffalo Bills at Houston TexansSun, Sep 13 · Our pick: on the game page
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets. A tie is void and counts neither way.