Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears — prediction and win probability
Chicago Bears, 57% to win. We project them by 2.1.
The numbers
| Our pick | Chicago Bears |
| Chance they win | 57% |
| Our projected spread (Chicago Bears) | -2.1 |
| Projected total | 47.9 |
The win probability is the graded call, capped at 90% — the edge of the calibration table our model was validated on. The projected spread and total come from the same model. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -6 means we project that side to win by six. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.
Market average
| Spread (Chicago Bears) | -4.5 |
| Total | 48 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Sep 15, 2026, 3:05 PM UTC
Rest of the Week 2, 2026 board
- Detroit Lions at Buffalo BillsThu, Sep 17 · Buffalo Bills, 65% to win
- Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee TitansSun, Sep 20 · Our pick: on the game page
- Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay BuccaneersSun, Sep 20 · Our pick: on the game page
- Green Bay Packers at New York JetsSun, Sep 20 · Our pick: on the game page
- Pittsburgh Steelers at New England PatriotsSun, Sep 20 · Our pick: on the game page
- Cincinnati Bengals at Houston TexansSun, Sep 20 · Houston Texans, 69% to win
- New Orleans Saints at Baltimore RavensSun, Sep 20 · Baltimore Ravens, 74% to win
- Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles ChargersSun, Sep 20 · Our pick: on the game page
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets. A tie is void and counts neither way.