It all comes down to Sunday at Braunschweig, where Hugo Gaston faces Jan Choinski for the trophy. Jan Choinski is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Hugo Gaston has won 4 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
The serve is where this match separates: Choinski has been winning 69.4% of first-serve points to Gaston's 65.7%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Gaston comes in off a compressed schedule; Choinski comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Choinski is exactly that — a lean.