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Newport Predictions & Picks — July 12, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 12, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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2 matches are on Sunday's card at Newport, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Katie Volynets against Tatjana Maria in the final. Our calls: Maria over Volynets, Walton over Fearnley. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

Katie Volynets vs. Tatjana Maria

The Newport title is on the line on Sunday, when Katie Volynets meets Tatjana Maria. Tatjana Maria is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Katie Volynets brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.

Katie Volynets leads the head-to-head 5-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On grass specifically it reads 2-0 Volynets — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 65.5% versus 56.9% on first-serve points in Maria's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Maria fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Maria

Win probability: 55% Maria · Most likely score: 2-0 (33%)

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Tatjana Maria was our 55% pick, and won 6-2 6-4.

Adam Walton vs. Jacob Fearnley

It all comes down to Sunday at Newport, where Adam Walton faces Jacob Fearnley for the trophy. Adam Walton is rolling — 4 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Jacob Fearnley brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Walton comes in off a compressed schedule; Fearnley comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Walton gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: Walton

Win probability: 55% Walton · Most likely score: 2-0 (34%)

✗ Pick wrongMissed it — and it stays on the record. We had Adam Walton at 55%, but Jacob Fearnley won 5-7 7-6 6-4.

Updated Jul 12, 2026, 4:30 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.