2 matches are on Monday's card at Granby, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: August Holmgren against Yosuke Watanuki in the round of 32. Our calls: Watanuki over Holmgren, Broady over Vukic. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.
Monday's Granby round of 32 pits Aleksandar Vukic against Liam Broady on hard. Liam Broady has won 6 of the last 10. Aleksandar Vukic is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (3 of the last 10).
The ledger favors Liam Broady, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Aleksandar Vukic.
Liam Broady simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Broady gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Broady
Win probability: 54% Broady · Most likely score: 2-0 (33%)
Monday's Granby round of 32 pits August Holmgren against Yosuke Watanuki on hard. Yosuke Watanuki brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. August Holmgren has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Yosuke Watanuki is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Watanuki around 50%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Watanuki fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Watanuki
Win probability: 50% Watanuki · Most likely score: 2-0 (28%)