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Gstaad Predictions & Picks — July 13, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 13, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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5 matches are on Monday's card at Gstaad, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Kilian Feldbausch against Miomir Kecmanovic in the round of 32. Our calls: Kecmanovic over Feldbausch, Collignon over Skatov, Stricker over Munar, Schwaerzler over Sonego, Rodionov over Tabur.

The boldest call on the card: Schwaerzler over Sonego — the market disagrees with us there.

Raphael Collignon vs. Timofey Skatov

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Raphael Collignon at 67% before the match, and Raphael Collignon won 3-6 7-6 6-4.

Pick: Collignon

Win probability: 67% Collignon · Most likely score: 2-0 (45%)

Monday's Gstaad round of 32 pits Raphael Collignon against Timofey Skatov on clay. Raphael Collignon has dropped 3 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Timofey Skatov is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10).

Timofey Skatov leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Skatov — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Collignon has been winning 73.6% of first-serve points to Skatov's 66.2%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Collignon.

Joel Schwaerzler vs. Lorenzo Sonego

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Joel Schwaerzler at 54% lost to Lorenzo Sonego (6-4 7-6).

Pick: SchwaerzlerUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Sonego the favorite; our numbers say Schwaerzler.

Win probability: 54% Schwaerzler · Most likely score: 2-1 (28%) · Could go long: 53% chance of a full three sets

Monday's Gstaad round of 32 pits Joel Schwaerzler against Lorenzo Sonego on clay. Joel Schwaerzler has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Lorenzo Sonego comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Schwaerzler gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Dominic Stricker vs. Jaume Munar

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 53% on Dominic Stricker, who won 6-2 6-4.

Pick: StrickerUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Munar the favorite; our numbers say Stricker.

Win probability: 53% Stricker · Most likely score: 2-0 (29%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Dominic Stricker goes up against Jaume Munar in the Gstaad round of 32. Dominic Stricker is 6-4 across recent matches. Jaume Munar is 4-6 across recent matches.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Hold strength tells the story — 75.6% versus 68.8% on first-serve points in Stricker's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Stricker fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Kilian Feldbausch vs. Miomir Kecmanovic

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Miomir Kecmanovic at 51% before the match, and Miomir Kecmanovic won 6-1 1-6 6-3.

Pick: Kecmanovic

Win probability: 51% Kecmanovic · Most likely score: 2-0 (30%)

Kilian Feldbausch and Miomir Kecmanovic meet in the round of 32 at Gstaad on Monday. Miomir Kecmanovic has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Kilian Feldbausch comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Hold strength tells the story — 71% versus 63.3% on first-serve points in Kecmanovic's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kecmanovic is exactly that — a lean.

Clement Tabur vs. Jurij Rodionov

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Jurij Rodionov at 51%, but Clement Tabur won 4-6 7-5 6-4.

Pick: RodionovUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Tabur the favorite; our numbers say Rodionov.

Win probability: 51% Rodionov · Most likely score: 2-0 (26%) · Could go long: 49% chance of a full three sets

Clement Tabur and Jurij Rodionov meet in the round of 32 at Gstaad on Monday. Jurij Rodionov is searching for form, having lost 6 in a row (3 of the last 10). Clement Tabur has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Rodionov is exactly that — a lean.

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Updated Jul 12, 2026, 10:24 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.