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Gstaad Predictions & Picks — July 13, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 13, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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5 matches are on Monday's card at Gstaad, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Kilian Feldbausch against Miomir Kecmanovic in the round of 32. Our calls: Kecmanovic over Feldbausch, Stricker over Munar, Collignon over Skatov, Schwaerzler over Sonego, Rodionov over Tabur. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

The boldest call on the card: Schwaerzler over Sonego — the market disagrees with us there.

Raphael Collignon vs. Timofey Skatov

Monday's Gstaad round of 32 pits Raphael Collignon against Timofey Skatov on clay. Raphael Collignon has dropped 3 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Timofey Skatov is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10).

Timofey Skatov leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Skatov — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Collignon has been winning 73.6% of first-serve points to Skatov's 66.2%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Collignon.

Pick: Collignon

Win probability: 67% Collignon · Most likely score: 2-0 (45%)

Joel Schwaerzler vs. Lorenzo Sonego

Monday's Gstaad round of 32 pits Joel Schwaerzler against Lorenzo Sonego on clay. Joel Schwaerzler has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Lorenzo Sonego comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Schwaerzler gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: SchwaerzlerUpset call

Upset call — the market makes Sonego the favorite; our numbers say Schwaerzler.

Win probability: 54% Schwaerzler · Most likely score: 2-1 (28%) · Could go long: 53% chance of a full three sets

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Joel Schwaerzler at 54% lost to Lorenzo Sonego (6-4 7-6(4)). It stays up, like every other miss.

Dominic Stricker vs. Jaume Munar

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Dominic Stricker goes up against Jaume Munar in the Gstaad round of 32. Dominic Stricker is 6-4 across recent matches. Jaume Munar is 4-6 across recent matches.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Hold strength tells the story — 75.6% versus 68.8% on first-serve points in Stricker's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Stricker fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: StrickerUpset call

Upset call — the market makes Munar the favorite; our numbers say Stricker.

Win probability: 53% Stricker · Most likely score: 2-0 (29%)

Kilian Feldbausch vs. Miomir Kecmanovic

Kilian Feldbausch and Miomir Kecmanovic meet in the round of 32 at Gstaad on Monday. Miomir Kecmanovic has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Kilian Feldbausch comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Hold strength tells the story — 71% versus 63.3% on first-serve points in Kecmanovic's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kecmanovic is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Kecmanovic

Win probability: 51% Kecmanovic · Most likely score: 2-0 (30%)

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Miomir Kecmanovic at 51% before the match, and Miomir Kecmanovic won 6-1 1-6 6-3.

Clement Tabur vs. Jurij Rodionov

Clement Tabur and Jurij Rodionov meet in the round of 32 at Gstaad on Monday. Jurij Rodionov is searching for form, having lost 6 in a row (3 of the last 10). Clement Tabur has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Rodionov is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: RodionovUpset call

Upset call — the market makes Tabur the favorite; our numbers say Rodionov.

Win probability: 51% Rodionov · Most likely score: 2-0 (26%) · Could go long: 49% chance of a full three sets

✗ Pick wrongMissed it — and it stays on the record. We had Jurij Rodionov at 51%, but Clement Tabur won 4-6 7-5 6-4.

Updated Jul 12, 2026, 10:24 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.