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Estoril Predictions & Picks — July 22, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 22, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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3 matches are on Wednesday's card at Estoril, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Nuno Borges against Roman Andres Burruchaga in the round of 16. Our calls: Borges over Burruchaga, Droguet over Gaston, Blockx over Jacquet. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

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Alexander Blockx vs. Kyrian Jacquet

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Alexander Blockx goes up against Kyrian Jacquet in the Estoril round of 16. Alexander Blockx limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Kyrian Jacquet has dropped 3 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The serve is where this match separates: Blockx has been winning 77.2% of first-serve points to Jacquet's 71.8%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Jacquet comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Blockx win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Pick: Blockx

Win probability: 91% Blockx · Sets: 2 (59%) · most likely score 2-0 (54%)

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Alexander Blockx at 91% before the match, and Alexander Blockx won 3-6 6-4 7-6.

Hugo Gaston vs. Titouan Droguet

Hugo Gaston and Titouan Droguet meet in the round of 16 at Estoril on Wednesday. Titouan Droguet is 7-3 across recent matches. Hugo Gaston is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).

The ledger favors Hugo Gaston, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Titouan Droguet.

Hold strength tells the story — 73.4% versus 65.7% on first-serve points in Droguet's favor. Anything other than a Droguet win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Pick: Droguet

Win probability: 74% Droguet · Sets: 3 (43%) · most likely score 2-0 (44%)

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 74% on Titouan Droguet; Hugo Gaston won 6-0 6-3.

Nuno Borges vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Nuno Borges goes up against Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Estoril round of 16. Nuno Borges is 6-4 across recent matches. Roman Andres Burruchaga is 4-6 across recent matches.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Hold strength tells the story — 72.2% versus 65.5% on first-serve points in Borges's favor. Borges comes in off a compressed schedule; Burruchaga comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Borges is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Borges

Win probability: 59% Borges · Sets: 3 (42%) · most likely score 2-0 (35%)

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Nuno Borges at 59% lost to Roman Andres Burruchaga (6-1 4-6 6-3). It stays up, like every other miss.

Updated Jul 21, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.