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Segovia Predictions & Picks — July 22, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 22, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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One match is on Wednesday's card at Segovia, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Luka Pavlovic against Yi Zhou in the round of 16. Our calls: Zhou over Pavlovic. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

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Luka Pavlovic vs. Yi Zhou

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Luka Pavlovic goes up against Yi Zhou in the Segovia round of 16. Yi Zhou comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Luka Pavlovic is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (2 of the last 10).

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Pavlovic comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Zhou — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Pick: Zhou

Win probability: 64% Zhou · Sets: 3 (46%) · most likely score 2-0 (35%)

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 64% on Yi Zhou; Luka Pavlovic won 6-4 7-6.

Updated Jul 21, 2026, 8:30 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.