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Segovia Predictions & Picks — July 23, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 23, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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One match is on Thursday's card at Segovia, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Gonzalo Villanueva against Matteo Martineau in the round of 16. Our calls: Martineau over Villanueva. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

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Gonzalo Villanueva vs. Matteo Martineau

Gonzalo Villanueva and Matteo Martineau meet in the round of 16 at Segovia on Thursday. Matteo Martineau has won 4 of the last 10. Gonzalo Villanueva comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

The serve is where this match separates: Martineau has been winning 71.6% of first-serve points to Villanueva's 63.2%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Martineau fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Martineau

Win probability: 56% Martineau · Sets: 3 (47%) · most likely score 2-0 (30%)

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Matteo Martineau at 56% before the match, and Matteo Martineau won 6-3 7-6.

Updated Jul 22, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.