2 matches are on Thursday's card at Memphis (Usa), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Peyton Stearns against Tatiana Prozorova in the round of 16. Our calls: Stearns over Prozorova, Vidmanova over Stephens. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.
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Thursday's Memphis (Usa) round of 16 pits Darja Vidmanova against Sloane Stephens on hard. Darja Vidmanova is 4-6 across recent matches. Sloane Stephens has dropped 4 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Vidmanova.
Pick: Vidmanova
Win probability: 60% Vidmanova · Sets: 2 (60%) · most likely score 2-0 (36%)
Thursday's Memphis (Usa) round of 16 pits Peyton Stearns against Tatiana Prozorova on hard. Peyton Stearns is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Tatiana Prozorova has won 6 of the last 10.
Peyton Stearns is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Stearns around 57%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Stearns is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Stearns
Win probability: 57% Stearns · Sets: 2 (63%) · most likely score 2-0 (37%)