3 matches are on Wednesday's card at Hagen, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Chun Hsin Tseng against Tom Gentzsch in the round of 16. Our calls: Gentzsch over Tseng, Ouden over Mrva, Squire over Barrena.
Pick: Squire
Win probability: 60% Squire · Sets: 3 (48%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Alex Barrena goes up against Henri Squire in the Hagen round of 16. Henri Squire is 7-3 across recent matches. Alex Barrena comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
Squire's 70.9% behind the first serve (against 64.1% for Barrena) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Squire comes in off a compressed schedule. Squire should have enough here, though Barrena has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Ouden
Win probability: 69% Ouden · Sets: 3 (49%) · most likely score 2-0 (36%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Guy Den Ouden goes up against Maxim Mrva in the Hagen round of 16. Guy Den Ouden comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Maxim Mrva comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
Hold strength tells the story — 67.8% versus 64% on first-serve points in Ouden's favor. Mrva comes in off a compressed schedule. Ouden should have enough here, though Mrva has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Gentzsch
Win probability: 55% Gentzsch · Sets: 3 (46%) · most likely score 2-0 (30%)
Wednesday's Hagen round of 16 pits Chun Hsin Tseng against Tom Gentzsch on clay. Tom Gentzsch is 7-3 across recent matches. Chun Hsin Tseng comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
Gentzsch's 72.5% behind the first serve (against 67.2% for Tseng) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Gentzsch comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Gentzsch gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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