Friday's Hamburg quarterfinal pits Matej Dodig against Saba Purtseladze on clay. Matej Dodig is 7-3 across recent matches. Saba Purtseladze comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Dodig comes in off a compressed schedule. If Dodig plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.