It all comes down to Friday at Montreal, where Ben Shelton faces Brandon Nakashima for the trophy. Ben Shelton is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Brandon Nakashima is rolling — 4 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.
Ben Shelton is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Shelton around 59%. Shelton comes in off a compressed schedule; Nakashima comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Shelton fractionally more likely to land the big points.