One match is on Wednesday's card at Como, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Federico Arnaboldi against Juan Pablo Varillas in the round of 16. Our calls: Varillas over Arnaboldi.
Pick: Varillas
Win probability: 73% Varillas · Market: -254 · Sets: 3 (46%) · most likely score 2-0 (41%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Federico Arnaboldi goes up against Juan Pablo Varillas in the Como round of 16. Juan Pablo Varillas has won 7 of the last 10. Federico Arnaboldi has dropped 6 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.
Juan Pablo Varillas is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Varillas around 73%. Arnaboldi needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
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