2 matches are on Tuesday's card at Barranquilla, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Dominika Salkova against Julia Riera in the round of 32. Our calls: Salkova over Riera, Jeanjean over Alves.
Pick: Salkova
Win probability: 52% Salkova · Market: -138 · Sets: 3 (45%) · most likely score 2-0 (28%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Dominika Salkova goes up against Julia Riera in the Barranquilla round of 32. Dominika Salkova is 5-5 across recent matches. Julia Riera has won 8 of the last 10.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Salkova gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Jeanjean
Win probability: 57% Jeanjean · Market: -595 · Sets: 2 (68%) · most likely score 2-0 (39%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Carolina Alves goes up against Leolia Jeanjean in the Barranquilla round of 32. Leolia Jeanjean has won 5 of the last 10. Carolina Alves limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Jeanjean has been winning 61.1% of first-serve points to Alves's 56.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Jeanjean is exactly that — a lean.
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