2 matches are on Tuesday's card at Cassis, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Laurent Lokoli against Ugo Blanchet in the round of 32. Our calls: Blanchet over Lokoli, Masur over Added.
The boldest call on the card: Masur over Added — the market disagrees with us there.
Pick: Blanchet
Win probability: 55% Blanchet · Market: -169 · Sets: 3 (49%) · most likely score 2-0 (29%)
Tuesday's Cassis round of 32 pits Laurent Lokoli against Ugo Blanchet on hard. Ugo Blanchet has dropped 5 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten. Laurent Lokoli is 4-6 across recent matches.
Blanchet's 71.9% behind the first serve (against 67.6% for Lokoli) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Blanchet is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: MasurUpset call
Upset call: the market makes Added the favorite; our numbers say Masur.
Win probability: 51% Masur · Market: +142 · Sets: 3 (49%) · most likely score 2-1 (26%)
Dan Added and Daniel Masur meet in the round of 32 at Cassis on Tuesday. Daniel Masur has won 3 of the last 10. Dan Added has dropped 3 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.
Daniel Masur simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Masur fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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