One match is on Saturday's card at Montreux, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Dalma Galfi against Fiona Ferro in the semifinal. Our calls: Galfi over Ferro.
The boldest call on the card: Galfi over Ferro — the market disagrees with us there.
Pick: GalfiUpset call
Upset call: the market makes Ferro the favorite; our numbers say Galfi.
Win probability: 52% Galfi · Market: +143 · Sets: 2 (59%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)
Saturday's Montreux semifinal pits Dalma Galfi against Fiona Ferro on clay. Dalma Galfi is rolling — 3 straight wins, 4 of 10 in recent play. Fiona Ferro is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.
Hold strength tells the story — 64.1% versus 59.5% on first-serve points in Galfi's favor. Galfi comes in off a compressed schedule; Ferro comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Galfi gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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