One match is on Sunday's card at US Open, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alexander Zverev against Ben Shelton in the final. Our calls: Zverev over Shelton.
Pick: Zverev
Win probability: 54% Zverev · Market: -139 · We call it in 4+ sets (64%) · single likeliest score 3-0 (22%)
Sunday brings the US Open final: Alexander Zverev against Ben Shelton. Alexander Zverev brings a 6-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Ben Shelton has won 5 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall.
Alexander Zverev simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Zverev fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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