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Sao Paulo Predictions & Picks — September 16, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · September 16, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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4 matches are on Wednesday's card at Sao Paulo, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Dominika Salkova against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the round of 32. Our calls: Maneiro over Salkova, Kostovic over Semenistaja, Lamens over Alves, Quevedo over Osuigwe.

Darja Semenistaja vs. Teodora Kostovic

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Teodora Kostovic was our 50% pick, and won 6-4 6-1.

Pick: Kostovic

Win probability: 50% Kostovic · Market: -125 · Sets: 3 (48%) · most likely score 2-0 (25%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Darja Semenistaja goes up against Teodora Kostovic in the Sao Paulo round of 16. Teodora Kostovic has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Darja Semenistaja is searching for form, having lost 7 in a row (3 of the last 10).

Kostovic's 63.2% behind the first serve (against 57.7% for Semenistaja) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Semenistaja comes in off a compressed schedule; Kostovic comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kostovic is exactly that — a lean.

Kaitlin Quevedo vs. Whitney Osuigwe

Pick: Quevedo

Win probability: 60% Quevedo · Market: -238 · Sets: 2 (66%) · most likely score 2-0 (40%)

Kaitlin Quevedo and Whitney Osuigwe meet in the round of 32 at Sao Paulo on Wednesday. Kaitlin Quevedo has won 4 of the last 10. Whitney Osuigwe limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Quevedo has been winning 60.4% of first-serve points to Osuigwe's 53.6%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Quevedo is exactly that — a lean.

Carolina Alves vs. Suzan Lamens

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Suzan Lamens was our 56% pick, and won 3-6 7-6 6-2.

Pick: Lamens

Win probability: 56% Lamens · Market: -437 · Sets: 2 (66%) · most likely score 2-0 (37%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Carolina Alves goes up against Suzan Lamens in the Sao Paulo round of 32. Suzan Lamens limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Carolina Alves has dropped 4 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 61.3% versus 57% on first-serve points in Lamens's favor. Little separates them; Lamens gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Dominika Salkova vs. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Jessica Bouzas Maneiro at 51%, but Dominika Salkova won 7-5 6-1.

Pick: Maneiro

Win probability: 51% Maneiro · Market: -271 · Sets: 2 (62%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)

Wednesday's Sao Paulo round of 32 pits Dominika Salkova against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro on hard. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro is 4-6 across recent matches. Dominika Salkova is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10).

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Maneiro is exactly that — a lean.

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Updated Sep 15, 2026, 6:01 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.