One match is on Sunday's card at Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Ilia Simakin against Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez in the final. Our calls: Simakin over Mendez.
Pick: Simakin
Win probability: 58% Simakin · Market: -127 · We call it in 3 sets (51%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (30%)
The Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) title is on the line on Sunday, when Ilia Simakin meets Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez. Ilia Simakin brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez is 5-5 across recent matches.
The serve is where this match separates: Simakin has been winning 73.4% of first-serve points to Mendez's 69.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Simakin gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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