2 matches are on Monday's card at Porto, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Oceane Dodin against Susan Bandecchi in the round of 32. Our calls: Bandecchi over Dodin, Kraus over Cabrera.
Pick: Kraus
Win probability: 70% Kraus · Market: -342 · We call it in 2 sets (66%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (48%)
Monday's Porto round of 32 pits Lizette Cabrera against Sinja Kraus on hard. Sinja Kraus has dropped 4 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. Lizette Cabrera limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.
Sinja Kraus simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Kraus should have enough here, though Cabrera has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Bandecchi
Win probability: 57% Bandecchi · Market: -229 · We call it in 2 sets (61%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (35%)
Oceane Dodin and Susan Bandecchi meet in the round of 32 at Porto on Monday. Susan Bandecchi has won 6 of the last 10. Oceane Dodin has won 3 of the last 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Bandecchi gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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