2 matches are on Tuesday's card at Genova 2 (Italy), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Marvin Moeller against Stefano Travaglia in the round of 32. Our calls: Travaglia over Moeller, Gentzsch over Valle.
Pick: Gentzsch
Win probability: 58% Gentzsch · Market: -129 · We call it in 3 sets (44%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (33%)
Tuesday's Genova 2 (Italy) round of 32 pits Enrico Dalla Valle against Tom Gentzsch on clay. Tom Gentzsch is 7-3 across recent matches. Enrico Dalla Valle has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.
Gentzsch's 72.8% behind the first serve (against 65.5% for Valle) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Gentzsch is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Travaglia
Win probability: 52% Travaglia · Market: -118 · We call it in 3 sets (47%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (28%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Marvin Moeller goes up against Stefano Travaglia in the Genova 2 (Italy) round of 32. Stefano Travaglia is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (3 of the last 10). Marvin Moeller comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Travaglia fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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