2 matches are on Tuesday's card at Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Adrian Andreev against Oleg Prihodko in the round of 32. Our calls: Andreev over Prihodko, Jover over Geerts.
Pick: Jover
Win probability: 53% Jover · Market: -200 · We call it in 3 sets (50%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (27%)
Tuesday's Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) round of 32 pits Carlos Sanchez Jover against Michael Geerts on clay. Carlos Sanchez Jover has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Michael Geerts has won 4 of the last 10.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Jover gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Andreev
Win probability: 51% Andreev · Market: +145 · We call it in 3 sets (51%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (26%)
Tuesday's Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) round of 32 pits Adrian Andreev against Oleg Prihodko on clay. Adrian Andreev comes in at 2 wins from the last ten. Oleg Prihodko limps in on a 6-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.
Adrian Andreev simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Andreev is exactly that — a lean.
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